Free NFL Football Pick: Thursday, Dec. 2, 2010

Vincent Nguyen, Free Picks Newsletter Editor
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NFL:  Houston Texans vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+7.5)

A 7.5-point spread is a big one by NFL standards. The modern age of parity has brought truth to the old cliche’ about “any given Sunday.” There are times, however, when it becomes obvious that the parity rule does not apply. Tonight’s game between the Eagles and Texans is one of those situations. When it comes to yards allowed, the Texans pass defense is one of the worst in the NFL.

For example, check out these stats racked up against the Texans this season:
• Donovan McNabb, 426 yards and a touchdown
• Brad Gradkowski, 278 yards and two touchdowns
• David Garrard, 342 yards and two touchdowns

The Texans pass defense is more absorbent and porous than Spongebob Squarepants.

To the Texans credit, they held the Titans’ Rusty Smith to under 200-yards passing, but Michael Vick is not Rusty Smith. Did you see the pass Vick fired between two Bears defenders to Brent Celek for a touchdown at the end of the Eagles’ loss to the Bears?

Vick should be able to light up DBs like this all day against the Texans whether the receivers are double covered or not.

Look for Vick to get back to his Superman ways as the Texans are not the Giants or the Bears.

The lines vary between +7.5 and +9 for the Eagles, but it doesn’t really matter. The Texans will drop to the deck and flop like a fish tonight.

If you have any doubts, just think back to the Redskins game.

Pick: Take the Eagles (+7.5)